Turkey Prices Rise 11% in 2025: Complete State-by-State Cost Guide
Turkey Prices Rise 11% in 2025: Complete State-by-State Cost Guide
2025 Turkey Price Overview: What Americans Are Paying
As Thanksgiving 2025 approaches, American families are facing an 11% increase in turkey prices compared to last year. According to recent data from FinanceBuzz, consumers should expect to pay approximately $34.65 for a standard 15-pound turkey this holiday season.
While this represents a notable jump from 2024's prices, there's some good news for budget-conscious shoppers: turkey costs remain significantly lower than the peak prices seen in 2022 and 2023. This makes the 2025 Thanksgiving turkey more affordable than it has been in recent years, despite the current increase.
Turkey Prices by State: Where to Find the Best Deals
Turkey prices vary dramatically across the United States, with some states paying more than double what others pay. Geographic location, supply chain logistics, and local demand all contribute to these regional price differences.
Most Expensive States for Turkey (Top 10)
- Hawaii: $55.70 - Highest in the nation due to shipping costs
- Alaska: $42.35 - Remote location impacts pricing
- Iowa: $41.35
- Montana: $40.85
- Massachusetts: $39.85
- New Hampshire: $39.85
- Vermont: $39.85
- Rhode Island: $39.85
- South Carolina: $38.85
- New Jersey: $38.35
Most Affordable States for Turkey (Bottom 10)
- Oklahoma: $24.85 - Lowest turkey price in America
- Texas: $25.85
- Tennessee: $27.35
- Louisiana: $27.35
- Kentucky: $28.40
- Illinois: $28.40
- Arkansas: $29.35
- Arizona: $29.85
- Oregon: $30.35
- Mississippi: $30.85
Notable finding: The price difference between Hawaii ($55.70) and Oklahoma ($24.85) is a staggering $30.85, representing a 124% increase for the most expensive state.
Why Are Turkey Prices Rising in 2025?
The Bird Flu Impact
The primary driver behind the 2025 turkey price increase is the ongoing avian influenza outbreak. According to the American Farm Bureau Federation, bird flu has reduced the U.S. turkey flock to its smallest size in forty years. This significant supply reduction has created upward pressure on prices across the country.
Additional Price Factors
- Supply Chain Challenges: Transportation and distribution costs remain elevated
- Feed Costs: Higher grain prices impact turkey production expenses
- Labor Shortages: Processing facilities continue facing workforce challenges
- Seasonal Demand: Peak Thanksgiving demand drives temporary price spikes
Smart Shopping Strategies to Save Money on Turkey
Timing Your Purchase
Many grocery stores offer deep discounts on turkeys the week before Thanksgiving. Some retailers use turkeys as "loss leaders" to attract customers, pricing them below cost. Shopping early in November often yields the best selection, while last-minute shoppers may find clearance deals.
Store Loyalty Programs
Major grocery chains frequently offer free or heavily discounted turkeys to loyalty program members who reach specific spending thresholds. Check your local stores' Thanksgiving promotions 2-3 weeks in advance.
Consider Alternatives
- Turkey Breast: Often 30-40% cheaper per pound than whole birds
- Smaller Birds: Price per pound decreases with larger turkeys, but smaller families may save overall
- Store Brands: Generic frozen turkeys offer quality comparable to name brands at lower prices
Budget Planning Tips
For a family of 8-10 people, plan on purchasing a 15-20 pound turkey. With the national average of $34.65 for a 15-pound bird, your total turkey cost will range from $35-$46 depending on your state and chosen brand. Budget an additional 10-15% buffer for unexpected price variations.
Frequently Asked Questions About 2025 Turkey Prices
Why are turkey prices higher than last year?
The 11% price increase is primarily due to avian influenza reducing the U.S. turkey population to a 40-year low. Reduced supply combined with consistent demand has driven prices upward.
Are 2025 turkey prices higher than 2022 and 2023?
No. Despite the 11% increase from 2024, current prices remain lower than the peak prices seen in 2022 and 2023, making this year relatively more affordable in recent context.
Which state has the cheapest turkey prices?
Oklahoma offers the lowest turkey prices at $24.85 for a 15-pound bird, followed closely by Texas at $25.85. Southern states generally have lower prices due to proximity to production facilities.
When should I buy my Thanksgiving turkey?
The best time to buy is typically 1-2 weeks before Thanksgiving when stores launch promotional pricing. However, purchasing earlier in November ensures better selection, while shopping the day before may yield clearance deals.
How much turkey should I buy per person?
Plan for 1 to 1.5 pounds of turkey per person. For example, a 15-pound turkey serves 10-15 people, while a 20-pound bird feeds 13-20 guests depending on appetite and desired leftovers.
Will turkey prices decrease in 2026?
Price forecasts depend on bird flu containment and flock recovery. If turkey populations rebound and no new outbreaks occur, prices may stabilize or decrease slightly in 2026, though predictions remain uncertain.
Final Takeaway
While turkey prices are up 11% in 2025, strategic shopping and price comparison can help you save significantly. Southern states offer the best value, while coastal and remote areas face premium pricing. Start monitoring sales early, leverage loyalty programs, and consider purchasing from warehouse clubs for bulk savings. Despite the increase, this Thanksgiving remains more affordable than 2022-2023, providing some relief for budget-conscious families.